Atlanta Fed GDPNow Sees Economy Shrinking

Atlanta Fed model predicts GDP to shrink 2.8% in Q1: Trumpcession
The US economy could be shrinking at its fastest rate since the COVID-19 lockdown, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow model, which is now forecasting America’s gross domestic product to fall 2.
Atlanta Fed model forecasts nearly -3% GDP growth in first quarter of this year
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model had, up until the Feb. 28 update, been forecasting growth between 2-4% in line with most other models. A graph on the GDPNow page lists the "Blue Chip Consensus" average of the top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts at a slight tick more than 2% U.S. GDP growth for Q1 2025.
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Sees Economy Shrinking After Friday Data
The US economy is setting up to take a major step back in the first quarter after a pair of reports showed weaker consumer spending and a dramatic widening of the trade deficit at the start of the year,
Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Estimate Falls Again
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s running forecast for first-quarter gross domestic product slid again on Monday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate now calls for a first-quarter GDP decline of 2.8%,
Atlanta Fed model forecasts GDP contraction in 2025 Q1
On February 28, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -1.5%: https://t.co/T7FoDdgYos. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: https://t.co/NOSwMl7Jms. pic.twitter.com/HhndH6BirX
The first quarter is on track for negative GDP growth, Atlanta Fed indicator says
The central bank's GDPNow tracker of incoming metrics is indicating that gross domestic product is on pace to shrink by 1.5%.
Atlanta Fed’s GDP Predictor Is Tanking. It’s All About Trade Wars.
The Atlanta Federal Reserve keeps a running tally of how it expects gross domestic product to perform in the current quarter. It just swung from solid growth to contraction. The reason could be down to some statistical noise,
Closely watched Atlanta Fed GDP tracker sees U.S. economy contracting in first quarter
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model on Friday lowered its forecast for the U.S. economy to a contraction at a 1.5% annual rate. This would be the first quarterly contraction in the economy since the first quarter of 2022.
US economy on track for negative GDP in Trump’s first quarter back
The US economy is already slipping in 2025, and the numbers don’t look good for President Donald Trump, who took the Oval back on January 20. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, GDP is on track to contract by 1.
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Tariffs will raise prices, it’s just a matter of how much, Atlanta Fed says
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