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The Sahm Rule is a simple rule of thumb for detecting the early stages of a recession – and it was recently triggered.
Known economic indicators are being peered over more closely as recession risks whirl around the US economy. Sahm Consulting Founder Claudia Sahm joins Yahoo Finance Live as part of its Chartbook ...
Using measures that build on the Sahm rule, a new indicator says there's a 40% chance the US is in a recession that started as early as March.
“The Sahm rule is likely overstating the labor market's weakening due to unusual shifts in labor supply caused by the pandemic and immigration,” Sahm recently said.
Sahm touts her Rule as a forward-looking indicator of recession, and useful as a way of seeing around the corner before “it’s too late for the Fed’s tools to work.” And the Fed could do what?
Claudia Sahm's recession indicator, the Sahm Rule, has been triggered for the first time since 2020. But Sahm believes the current signal is a false positive due to rising labor force ...
What is the Sahm rule? The Sahm rule is simple and straightforward, which adds to its usefulness as a measure of economic and employment health. The Sahm rule states that the economy has entered ...
NPR's Ayesha Rascoe asks Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist for New Century Advisors, what the latest job figures tell us about the state of the economy.